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Avis de recrutement d’un consultant individuel pour le modèle de croissance et priorités pour une croissance durable, inclusive et transformatrice au Liberia

Avis de recrutement d’un consultant individuel pour le modèle de croissance et priorités pour une croissance durable, inclusive et transformatrice au Liberia

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Categories : Avis de recrutement

Domaines : Banque - Assurance - FinanceComptabilité - Gestion - Audit - Gestion de projetsEconomie - Statistique - Démographie... Afficher plus

Regions : Liberia

Avis de recrutement d’un consultant individuel pour le modèle de croissance et priorités pour une croissance durable, inclusive et transformatrice au Liberia

 

REQUEST FOR EXPRESSIONS OF INTEREST

AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK

Country Office LIBERIA (COLR),

The Villa Sangai, Sophie Community,

Oldest Congo Town, Tubman Boulevard,

Monrovia, Liberia

Tel: +231777117773 | +231777117775

 

  1. Introduction :

The Bank : Established in 1964, the African Development Bank is the premier pan-African development institution, promoting economic growth and social progress across the continent. There are 80 member states, including 54 in Africa (Regional Member Countries). The Bank’s development agenda is delivering the financial and technical support for transformative projects that will significantly reduce poverty through inclusive and sustainable economic growth. In order to sharply focus the objectives of the Ten-Year Strategy (2013 – 2022) and ensure greater developmental impact, five major areas (High 5s), all of which will accelerate our delivery for Africa, have been identified for scaling up, namely; energy, agro-business, industrialization, integration and improving the quality of life for the people of Africa. The Bank hereby invites International Individual Consultants to indicate their interest in the following assignment: “Growth model and priorities for sustainable, inclusive and Transformative growth in Liberia”.

Context: Liberia is a low-income country with a GDP per capita of US$584 in 20211. While per capita GDP has grown from USD243 since the end of the civil war in 2003 to USD584 in 2021, most Liberians remain poor with a poverty rate of 50.9% suggesting that economic growth has not been sufficiently inclusive. The economy is natural resource based contributing 80% of GDP. Industry is dominated by Mining of iron ore, gold, and diamond while agriculture, forestry, and fisheries sectors (hereafter Agriculture) are dominated by palm oil plantations and rubber. The economy has undergone a slow economic transformation between 2000 to 2020 shifting from Agriculture to Services and Industry sectors. The share in value added of Agriculture declined from 40% in 2000 to 20% in 20202. Similarly, the share of total employment of agriculture declined from 75% in 2000 to 50% by 2020. In contrast, the share of services in total value added increased from 40% to 50% and that of Industry from 25% to 30% during the same period. Similarly, the share in total employment of services increased from 20% to 50% while that of Industry also increased from 7% to 15%. This means that labour is moving from Agriculture to Services and Industry sectors. However, the proportion of labour moving into Services is significantly higher than that of Industry. This is despite the higher labour productivity in Industry suggesting that movement of labour is not guided by labour productivity differential. With significantly higher proportion of the labour force still trapped in low productivity Agriculture, there is potential to move more labour out of traditional agriculture into Industry (e.g. Agro-Industry) by improving agriculture productivity and

  • AFDB statistics
  • Source: African Development Bank statistics and World Development Indicators database.

investing in sectors with higher labour absorptive capacity. Therefore, to ensure a rapid and inclusive economic transformation, Liberia need to deepen policy reforms and increase investment in the enablers for economic transformation including infrastructure development, private sector development, improved governance, and human capital focusing on relevant skills development.

2.0.        The Assignment :

The purpose of the assignment is to undertake a systematic diagnostic analysis of Liberia’s growth process over the last 40 years and what needs to be done in the medium term to promote sustainable and inclusive growth and transformation. The proposed work will use existing reports as well as additional sources of data and analysis to provide a succinct story of Liberia’s growth and transformation over the last 40 years. It will involve diagnostics of the long-term growth trends, a synthesis of the binding constraints to growth and emerging challenges. It will underscore the enablers and binding constraints to inclusive growth and transformation as well as the areas on which the Bank should focus its interventions over the medium-term.

The specific tasks to be undertaken in this assignment include :

  • Undertake a systematic diagnostic analysis of Liberia’s growth and structural transformation process over the last 40 years, and what needs to be done in the medium term to promote inclusive growth. The assignment will involve a synthesis of key issues in economic growth, inclusivity and social development as well as the binding constraints to future growth. Specifically, the work will involve synthesis of i) trends in economic growth and structural transformation; ii) Growth decomposition; iii) private sector growth and emerging issues; iv) human capital development, including the status and quality of education, health care and social protection, v) trends in economic and social governance; and vi) employment trends and skills match, especially among the youth and women ;
  • Examine the relationships between economic growth and trends in poverty and inequality, human capital development, economic and social governance and labor-market dynamics, including trends in employment and skills match; identify the key drivers and enablers of that growth and the binding constraints in order to inform policy options over the medium- and long-term ;
  • Propose a new growth model/ strategy that Liberia needs to take in order to absorb new labour market entrants; identify the impact of improving the quality of human capital, innovation and higher value-added production in new and existing tradable sectors and integration into global value chains. The model will help to identify new sources of growth and growth potential; the priority areas for public investment and corresponding policy options with the largest potential for promoting inclusive growth, reducing poverty, income inequality and expanding job creation; how to sustain ongoing reforms to develop a level playing field; and quantify the impact of unlocking the constraints to growth/ economic diversification/ transformation ;
  • Quantitative assessments and simulation experiments of the proposed growth model will be undertaken to examine the impacts of the proposed growth strategies on Liberia’s capacity to promote inclusion, transformation and absorb new entrants in the labour market and sustainably reduce unemployment ;
  • comments at the various updates of the report and prepare the power point presentation summarizing the key findings of the report.
  1. Qualifications and Experience : The consultant must be fluent in English and should have the following qualifications and experience :
  • At least a Master’s degree or its equivalent in macroeconomics, econometrics, development economics or related field. A PhD in the related fields will be an added advantage ;
  • At least 10 years of progressive experience in the fields of macroeconomics, development economics, policy analysis, working with governments, international organizations and/or the private sector. With at least 6 years of knowledge on Growth Diagnostic studies ;
  • Demonstrable experience in undertaking large research projects and preparation of detailed reports and policy advisory on macroeconomic analysis and modelling, growth diagnostics, development policy analysis and briefs for the public sector, private sector or international organizations ;
  • Excellent communication skills including writing and presentation skills in English is required ;
  • Demonstrable understanding of the macro and socio-economic landscape and current policy dynamics of the Liberian economy is desirable ;
  • Knowledge of working on similar assignments in other developing countries will be an advantage.
  1. Eligibility, deliverables and duration of the assignment :

The eligibility criteria, the establishment of a shortlist and the selection procedure will comply with the Bank’s rules and procedures for the recruitment of consultants under its corporate regulations. Please note that the interest expressed by a consultant does not imply any obligation on the part of the Bank to include the consultant in the shortlist.

The service, under this assignment is expected to be completed within a period of four months. The consultant will need to commit effort equivalent to 60 working days. The consultant may work from any location and participate in field mission to gather data and present the draft and final results. Remuneration will be in accordance with Bank’s rates and the qualification and experience of the consultant. The successful consultant is expected to start the work as soon as the selection process is completed, and the contract signed.

As part of his assignment, the consultant will provide the following deliverables: i) Inception report presenting the conceptual framework, detailed methodology. ii) Draft complete report accepted by the Bank and the relevant government Agencies; and iii) A final report of the study incorporating the comments received and approved by the Bank.

Interested individual consultants can obtain further information at the address below during Bank working hours: 8:00 am to 5:00 pm.

  1. Expressions of interest accompanied by an updated Curriculum Vitae (CV) must be received only by email to the addresses provided below no later than April 29, 2022 at 5:00 p.m GMT and specifically mentioning : International Consultant for theGrowth model and priorities for sustainable, inclusive and Transformative growth in Liberia”.

For the attention of :

TOPOH, LOVETTE POLEYNOH MERCHANT, African Development Bank Country Office LIBERIA (COLR), The Villa Sangai, Sophie Community, Oldest Congo Town, Tubman Boulevard, Monrovia, Liberia

Email: l.topoh@afbdb.org

With copies to Alemu, Zerihun Gudeta (z.alemu@afdb.org ) and Yusuf Bob Foday (y.foday@afdb.org)

  1. Establishment of the shortlist: A shortlist of three to six individual consultants will be established once the expressions of interest and the updated CV have been received. The shortlisted consultants will be evaluated on the following criteria based on their updated CVs :
i) Level of education in general30
(Have a Doctorate in Economics or similar fields will be an added advantage) 
ii) Relevant experience related to the assignment60

(10 years of relevant professional experience in carrying out macroeconomic research, with 6 years of related/similar assignment in Growth Diagnostic studies; experience

in using the relevant econometric methods and relevant software. 
Language proficiency10
(Excellent command of written and oral English).