La Banque Africaine de Développement invite par la présente les consultants individuels internationaux à manifester leur intérêt pour la préparation de la Note de diagnostic pays (CDN) pour le Kenya

REQUEST FOR EXPRESSIONS OF INTEREST (REOI)

AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK

Eastern Africa Regional Development and Business Delivery Office (RDGE)

Longon ot Road Plot 11, Upper Hill, P.O Box 4861 -00200, Nairobi – Kenya Email : b.wanjira@afdb.org

1. The African Development Bank hereby invites International Individual Consultants to indicate their interest in the preparation of Country Diagnostic Note (CDN) for Kenya ; 

2. Context : Over the last 5 years, Kenya’s economy has expanded on average at 5.4%. However, growth has not been inclusive with poverty, unemployment and income inequality high compared with regional peers. The African Development Bank (the Bank) together with other development partners have been supporting Kenya’s development priorities underscored in its development frameworks including the Long-term plan i.e., Vision 2030 and the Medium-term Plans (MTPs) e.g., the Third Medium Term Plan (MTP-III) 2018-2022 and its operational priorities “The Big Four Agenda’. Bank’s support for Kenya is guided by The Bank’s Country Strategy Paper (CSP) 2019-2023 which was approved in April 2019. The strategy is articulated around two Pillars: Pillar I – Supporting Industrialization; and Pillar II – Enhancing Skills and Capacity Development. These Pillars are aligned with Kenya’s long-term Vision 2030, the MTP-III 2018-2022, the “The Big Four” Agenda, the Bank’s Ten-Year Strategy (TYS) 2013-2022 and its High-5s operational priorities.

The current CSP is expiring in 2023. The international consultant is expected to prepare a comprehensive CDN that will provide an analysis of Kenya’s socio-economic situation and prospects, identify binding constraints to inclusive growth and sustainable development, provide policies that need to be implemented to accelerate inclusive growth and achieve the Bank’s High-5s and inform the strategic choices for the next Bank’s Country Strategy Paper (CSP 2024-2028).

3. The assignment : Under the supervision of the Lead Economist and the management of the Chief Country economist, the international consultant will perform the following tasks : (a) Prepare as well as collate macroeconomic and sector inputs and the draft CDN for Kenya. The consultant will ensure that the CDN guideline is followed and that all required inputs are included and updated. (b) Review existing national planning documents, knowledge products produced by the Bank, development partners and other sources to develop a strong context for the CDN and use the same to prepare the CDN. (c) Review and finalize draft sector/thematic notes prepared by the Bank’s sector departments. (d) Apply comments from the Bank team to revise and update the entire report to ensure coherence of the storyline, interlinkages and data consistency within and across the different chapters and sections. Revise and update the draft CDN following any additional team comments. (e) The proposed work will use existing national and sectoral reports as well as international data to generate a succinct story of Kenya’s growth and sectoral performance and identify emerging issues going forward.

4. Deliverables :

• The selected consultant will prepare an inception report that highlights the approach and understanding of the ToR, and the prioritization of the country’s most pressing development constraints based on an appropriate methodology (growth diagnostics approach, etc.), as well as a timeframe for delivery of the rest of the outputs ;
• Draft of a comprehensive and updated Country Diagnostic Note for Kenya for review and discussion with the Bank team ;
• Revised final report taking into account comments by the Bank team. This will also include relevant annexes, references and data sources.

5. Expected duration :

• The assignment is expected to last three and a half months spread over a period of six months. Expected start date is 1st May to 30 October 2022. The consultant will need to commit effort equivalent to two person months ;
• The consultant will work under the supervision of the Chief Country Economist with overall guidance provided by the Lead Economist both based in Nairobi ;
• All work will be done remotely from the selected consultant’s location. Online sessions to present the findings of the work will be arranged by the Bank.

6. Qualifications and experience :

• At least a master’s degree or its equivalent in economics, statistics, social sciences, business administration or related field. A PhD in the related fields will be an advantage ;
• At least 8 years of relevant professional and practical experience in policy analysis and developing diagnostics or strategy documents, preparing technical and analytical reports in related areas is required ;
• At least 5 years of demonstrable experience in undertaking similar assignments for international organizations, public sector or large private sector organizations is required ;
• Demonstrable understanding of the socio-economic landscape and current policy dynamics of the Kenyan economy is desirable ;
• Knowledge of and working on similar assignments in other developing countries will be an advantage ;
• Excellent communication skills including writing and presentation skills is required.

7. Approach and scope of work :

• The consultant will use a variety of data and background documents on growth, employment, poverty, sectoral developments, and work with the Bank team to prepare, review and update the Country Diagnostic Note ;
• In addition to an executive summary, the CDN will comprise of six chapters, based on the indicative annotated outline below ;
• Introduction (C1): contextualize the preparation of the CDN by providing key background information on the process and on Kenya as a low middle-income country, fragility transition, geographic setting, resource base, structural factors, and policy/development goals, previous Management or Board’s recommendations affecting the preparation of the CDN. This chapter sets the tone and stage for the rest of the CDN ;
• Macroeconomic assessment (C2) : discuss Kenya’s ‘economic story’ over recent decades, the economic model, the growth drivers from demand, supply and factors perspectives; fiscal / monetary and exchange rate / public debt management / financial developments policies; and the recent macroeconomic performance and prospects ;

• Assessment of cross cutting issues (C3): assess the status and gaps in the cross-cutting issues that are corporate priorities of the Bank. These include governance, climate change, environment, fragility, gender and private sector development ;

• Diagnostic of gaps/constraints by the Bank’s High-5s (C4). Chapter four is the core of the CDN: it identifies gaps by sector and by the High-5 that require reforms, once identified they will be summarized under each sector/High-5 ;

• Priority areas of reforms (C5). Based on the analyses in the previous chapters, the CDN identifies the set of priorities for achieving Kenya’s development objectives and maximize its progress toward the goals of inclusive and green growth. This chapter maps the necessary priority reforms to the gaps identified, with a focus on the reforms needed to achieve the Bank’s High-5s. It provides and prioritizes the recommended solutions to the gaps identified ;

• Monitoring and evaluation of development outcomes (C5). Adequate monitoring and evaluation are key for the effectiveness of development policies and outcomes. The CDN will review the capacity of Kenya’s statistical system to support effective design, monitoring and evaluation of its development programs and of the Bank Group’s CSP. Where serious data deficiencies are detected, appropriate remedial measures will be proposed. The Bank Group’s Statistics Department will provide the background information for this chapter.

8. Remuneration :

The proposed remuneration will be defined based on the consultant’s financial proposal in accordance with the Bank’s remuneration grid and budget availability. The cost should be inclusive of honorarium and reimbursable costs. Should the highest scoring consultant’s financial proposal exceed the budgeted amount, the consultant will be contacted for negotiations. If no agreement is reached, the next highest scoring consultant shall be contacted until a suitable financial proposal is realized.

9. Expressions of interest accompanied by an updated Curriculum Vitae (CV) must be received only by email to the addresses provided below no later than April 4, 2022 at 5:00 p.m. (Nairobi time) and specifically mentioning: International Consultant for the “preparation of Kenya Country Diagnostic

Note” 

For the attention of: Ms. Brenda Wanjira, African Development Bank East Africa Regional Development and Business Delivery Office (RDGE) Khushee Towers Longonot Road Plot 11, Upper Hill 

P.O. Box 4861-00200 Nairobi, Kenya Email: b.wanjira@afdb.org

10. Establishment of the shortlist : 

A shortlist of three to six individual consultants will be established once the expressions of interest and the updated CV have been received. The shortlisted consultants will be evaluated on the following criteria based on their updated CVs. Shortlisted candidates will be invited to send in proposals and comments on the assignment.